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Patrick's First Warning Forecast: Sunny and mild before it gets wet and windy

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Chief Meteorologist Patrick Rockey’s First Warning Forecast

This last week of fall will be mostly sunny and mild. But we're tracking some messy weather for the start of fall this weekend.

After scattered Monday showers, high pressure will build in, bringing sunny and dry weather through most of the work week.

Temperatures will be close to normal for late September, with highs in the upper 70s and lower 80s.

But as we head toward the start of fall this weekend, it looks like rain will be falling.

An area of low pressure will develop off of the east coast of Florida and intensify as it moves north.

We expect that low to push inland over South Carolina and slowly move across our region.

That means we can expect increasing clouds late Thursday into Friday.

Most of Friday should be dry, with rain developing late in the afternoon or evening.

As the storm intensifies, northeast winds will become quite gusty. That will bring the threat for tidal flooding this weekend, into early next week.

Saturday is looking like the wettest and windiest day.

But it's rain that we really do need. Most of Hampton Roads is considered abnormally dry. And most of the Albemarle of North Carolina is experiencing moderate drought conditions.

September is typically one of our wetter months of the year. But so far, we've received only around 1/3 of an inch of rain.

It does look like the rain will let up on Sunday, with increasing amounts of sunshine. But we could see some of the rain even spill over into next Monday. Stay tuned.