Meteorologist Myles Henderson’s First Warning Forecast
The leftovers of Ian continue to churn off the Mid-Atlantic coast. We will see strong winds, rain, tidal flooding, and rough surf through Wednesday.
Another messy day with north to NW winds at 10 to 20 and gusts to 30 mph. These strong winds will trigger “minor” to “nuisance” level flooding near our afternoon (5 PM) high tide. We will also see rough surf, beach erosion, and potential ocean overwash. Expect cloudy skies with showers throughout the day. Temperatures will linger in the mid 50s.
It will still be windy on Wednesday with NW winds at 10 to 20 and gust to 30 mph. Clouds will slowly start to break up and rain chances will gradually drop.
We will see major improvements for Thursday and Friday. Expect partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies on Thursday with highs in the mid 70s and light winds. Highs will warm to the upper 70s on Friday with more sunshine.
A dry cold front will cool us down for the weekend. Expect highs in the mid 60s both days. We will see some extra clouds in the mix for Saturday as north winds kick up. Winds will relax and we’ll return to sunshine on Sunday.
Today: Showers, Windy. Highs in the mid 50s. Winds: N/NW 10-20G30
Tonight: Showers, Windy. Lows in the low 50s. Winds: NW 10-20G25
Tomorrow: Showers, Windy. Highs in the mid 60s. Winds: NW 10-20G30
Weather & Health
Pollen: Low (Ragweed, Sagebrush)
UV Index: 1 (Low)
Air Quality: Good (Code Green)
Mosquitoes: Moderate
Tropical Update
A broad low pressure system located a few hundred miles WSW of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce a large area of showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are currently conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or so while moving NW at about 10 mph over the eastern tropical Atlantic. Upper-level winds are expected to become less conducive for development by Wednesday and Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours: High (80%)
* Formation chance through 5 days: High (80%)
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located a few hundred miles east of the southern Windward Islands have increased a little this morning, but there are not yet any signs of significant organization. The wave is forecast to move west at about 15 mph, crossing the Windward Islands tonight and early Wednesday. Some slow development is possible while the wave continues west, and a tropical depression could form by late this week or this weekend over the central or western Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours: Low (10%)
* Formation chance through 5 days: Medium (40%)
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