Meteorologist Myles Henderson’s First Warning Forecast
More rain, building heat and humidity… Highs will return to the mid 80s today, but it will be noticeably more humid. Expect a mix of partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and storms, mainly in the afternoon to early evening.
Temperatures will climb to the low and mid 90s for the second half of the work week. Highs will reach the low 90s Wednesday with an afternoon heat index close to 100. We will see a mix of clouds tomorrow with another chance for scattered showers and storms.
Afternoon heat index values will climb to the triple digits Thursday and Friday. We will see a mix of sun and clouds with a scattered shower or storm possible. A cold front will bring in cooler and less humid air for the weekend.
Today: Mix of Clouds, Scattered Showers/Storms. Highs in the mid 80s. Winds: E 5-15
Tonight: Mostly Cloudy, Isolated Shower/Storm. Lows in the mid 70s. Winds: SE 5-15
Tomorrow: Mix of Clouds, Scattered Showers/Storms. Highs in the low 90s. Winds: S 5-10
Weather & Health
Pollen: Medium-High (Ragweed, Grasses)
UV Index: 4 (Moderate)
Air Quality: Good (Code Green)
Mosquitoes: Extreme
Today in Weather History (NWS Wakefield)
September 1st
1993 F1 Tornado: Bertie Co
1995 Severe Thunderstorms: Nottoway Co, Mecklenberg Co - Hail 0.75"-2.25"
2006 Tropical Storm Ernesto brings 8-12 inches of rain across southeast VA and northeast NC
Tropical Update
Tropical Depression Fifteen passing southeast of Cape Hatteras and moving out to sea. TD 15 is centered about 100 miles SE of Cape Hatteras, NC and moving NE at 13 mph. On the forecast track, the center of the depression will move away from the North Carolina coast today.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph with higher gusts. Although the depression still has a small chance to become a tropical storm later today, no significant changes in strength are expected during the next couple of days. The system could degenerate into a remnant low by Wednesday night.
A well-organized cluster of showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave is moving quickly west across the central Caribbean Sea. Although the disturbance does not yet have a well-defined circulation center, ship observations indicate that tropical-storm-force winds are occurring in the northern portion of wave to the southeast of Jamaica, which will spread near or just south of Jamaica later this morning and into this afternoon. Environmental conditions are expected to become a little more conducive for development, and a tropical depression or a tropical storm is likely to form during the next day or so before the system reaches Central America Wednesday night.
* Formation chance through 48 hours: High (80%)
* Formation chance through 5 days: High (80%)
A tropical wave is expected to emerge off the coast of Africa in a day or so. Gradual development of this system will be possible through the end of the week while it moves slowly westward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours: Low (0%)
* Formation chance through 5 days: Medium (40%)
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