Derrah Getter's First Warning Forecast
Rain chances will be elevated throughout the upcoming week as we monitor the development of a coastal low.
For now, we're mainly dry and cloudy this weekend. Rain chances won't be very high at least on Saturday and Sunday, so weekend plans are looking like a go. Temperatures will be in the upper 70s but humidity will be a bit higher so the air won't feel as refreshing.
With a persistent northeasterly flow tidal flooding is forecast through next week. The Monday morning commute is of concern as the water is expected to be elevated at 4.5 feet.
Rain chances increase starting Monday with the formation of a coastal low. As of now it has a 40% chance of developing into a tropical system per the National Hurricane Center. Either way, we're expected daily chances for scattered showers and an isolated storm or two. Models still aren't entirely in agreement as to how much rain will see. This largely depends on where the low moves. The latest data is not entirely in agreement with timing either but we'll continue to fine tune the forecast as the upcoming week gets closer.
Tropical Update
As of 9/13/24 at 5 pm
Offshore southeastern U.S.:
In a few days, a non-tropical area of low pressure could form along a residual frontal boundary a few hundred miles off the southeastern U.S. coastline. Some subtropical or tropical development is possible during the early part of next week while the system drifts off to the northwest. A subtropical or tropical depression could form early next week while the system moves generally northwestward toward the coast.
Formation chance through 48 hours...LOW (10%)
Formation chance through 7 days...MEDIUM (40%)
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Check out the Interactive Radar on WTKR.com: Interactive Radar