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Monday’s First Warning Forecast: A mix of clouds and more rain

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Meteorologist Myles Henderson’s First Warning Forecast

Rain chances continue for the start of the week… A stationary front will linger over the area again today, keeping clouds and rain in the mix. We will see a blend of partly to mostly cloudy skies today. Expect scattered showers but rain will not be very widespread. A stray storm is possible but severe weather is not expected. Highs will return to the low 80s today, just a few degrees below normal.

The stationary front will remain over the region on Tuesday. We will see a mix of clouds with scattered showers and storms again. Highs will warm into the mid 80s tomorrow, near normal for this time of year. More sunshine will mix in and rain chances will drop for midweek. Highs will warm into the upper 80s for the end of the week. Rain and storm chances will go up for Friday and the weekend as a cold front moves in.

Today: Partly to Mostly Cloudy, Scattered Showers/Storms (30%). Highs in the low 80s. Winds: NE 5-10

Tonight: Partly to Mostly Cloudy, Scattered Showers/Storms (30%). Lows in the mid 70. Winds: E/SE 5-10

Tomorrow: Partly to Mostly Cloudy, Scattered Showers/Storms (40%). Highs in the mid 80s. Winds: S/N/E 5-10

Weather & Health 

Pollen: Low-Moderate (Ragweed, Grasses)

UV Index: 9 (Very High)

Air Quality: Good (Code Green)

Mosquitoes: Extreme

Tropical Update

Swells from TS Gert will affect the East Coast later today. Gert is centered about 460 miles WSW of Bermuda and moving north at 8 mph. A gradual turn toward the northeast with an increase in forward speed is forecast for the next 48 hours. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast and Gert is expected to become a hurricane by tomorrow night.

Swells generated by Gert will begin to affect portions of the coast of North Carolina and Virginia later today. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

11:00 AM EDT Mon Aug 14

Location: 30.3°N 72.2°W

Moving: N at 8 mph

Min pressure: 1002 mb

Max sustained: 60 mph

We are watching a broad trough of low pressure southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are expected to be generally conducive for development of this disturbance for the next several days while it moves westward at about 15 mph over the tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours: Low (20%)

* Formation chance through 5 days: Medium (60%)

Hurricane Tracker

Today in Weather History (NWS Wakefield)

August 14th

1953 Hurricane Barbara: Strong Winds Gusts Southeast Virginia, Eastern Shore

1975 F0 Tornado: Gloucester Co

2004 F1 Tornado: Brunswick Co, F0 Tornado: Chesapeake

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