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Monday’s First Warning Forecast: A warm start to the week

Posted at 5:02 AM, Oct 17, 2016
and last updated 2016-10-17 12:41:25-04

Meteorologist Myles Henderson’s First Warning Forecast

A warmer start to the week… Expect mostly sunny skies overall today with highs near 80, about ten degrees above normal for this time of year. Highs will return to the low 80s for Tuesday and Wednesday with mostly sunny skies.

A few more clouds will blend in for the end of the work week with highs slipping into the 70s. We will see rain chances return for Friday and Saturday as a front moves in. Highs will fall into the 60s for the weekend.

Today: Mostly Sunny. Highs near 80. Winds: SW 5-10

Tonight: Mainly Clear. Lows in the low 60s. Winds: SW 5-10

Tomorrow: Mostly Sunny. Highs in the low 80s. Winds: SW 5-15

Weather & Health 

Pollen: Low (Ragweed, Grasses)

UV Index: 4 (Moderate)

Air Quality: Good (Code Green)

Mosquitoes: High

Tropical Update

Hurricane Nicole moving into the northern Atlantic. Nicole is centered about 560 miles SE of Cape Race, Newfoundland and moving NNE at 9 mph. This general motion with an increase in forward speed is expected through late today. A NNE motion at an even faster forward speed is forecast on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours and Nicole is expected to produce hurricane-force winds through Tuesday. However, Nicole should lose its tropical characteristics by Tuesday.

11:00 AM AST Mon Oct 17

Location: 41.4°N 44.6°W

Moving: NNE at 9 mph

Min pressure: 962 mb

Max sustained: 75 mph

We are watching a large area of cloudiness and disorganized showers located over the Bahamas. Upper-level winds are currently unfavorable for significant development, but they could become more conducive for tropical or subtropical cyclone formation by Tuesday or Wednesday when the system begins to drift northward.

* Formation chance through 48 hours: Low (20%)

* Formation chance through 5 days: Medium (50%)

Hurricane Tracker

 

Today in Weather History (NWS Wakefield)

October 17th

1999 F2 Tornado: Pasquotank Co

1999 Flash Flooding: Southeast Virginia

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