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First Warning Forecast: Clear and calm overnight, another warm day Thursday

Posted at 5:57 PM, Oct 19, 2016
and last updated 2016-10-19 23:53:36-04

The First Warning Storm Team is tracking summer-like weather heading into Thursday, but big changes are on the way for the end of the week.

A clear and mild night in store with lows in the low to mid 60s.

High pressure remains to our south and continues to usher in warm and dry conditions. Expect more sunshine heading into Thursday with highs in the lower 80s.

A big change by the end of the workweek. A cold front will approach from the west and slide into the area on Friday. We could see a few scattered showers. Once the frontal system crosses the region, you’ll notice a big difference in temperatures. Highs will be in the low and mid 70s on Friday. A taste of fall heading into the weekend. Highs will continue to fall to the mid 60s!

We’re also keeping a close eye on a developing area of low pressure near the Bahamas. Most of our forecast models track this system northward over the next several days. Right now, it is still too early to tell exactly where this system will be headed. However, most of our computer models keep it offshore. Regardless of its track, we will likely see high surf and a high threat of rip currents at all areas beaches in Hampton Roads and Northeastern North Carolina.

Tonight: Mostly clear and mild. Low temperatures in the mid 60s. Winds: S 5-10 mph.

Tomorrow: Some patchy morning fog to start the day. Warm and sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Winds: S 5-10 mph.

Tomorrow night: Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Winds S 5-10 mph.

Weather & Health

Pollen: Low (Ragweed, Grasses)

UV Index: Moderate

Air Quality: Good (Code Green)

Mosquitoes: High

Tropical Update

A non-tropical low pressure system is located about 250 miles northeast of the southeastern Bahamas. The system is moving north-northwestward at 10 mph. The showers and thunderstorms associated with this system remain disorganized. Environmental conditions could become more conducive for the low to acquire some tropical characteristics over the next couple of days.  The NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled  to investigate this system Thursday afternoon. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over Hispaniola, Puerto Rico, and portions of the northern Leeward Islands through Thursday.

Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…60 percent

Formation chance through 5 days…high…60 percent

Hurricane Tracker

 

April Loveland
First Warning Meteorologist
WTKR-TV News 3
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